Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 358.111342 405.857901 458.735196 521.833944 595.334553 678.551245 780.327009
2025-11-23 282.267685 343.840536 418.077549 514.952976 639.169331 794.634347 1006.361080
2025-11-30 243.862912 311.589450 398.022760 517.931297 682.366568 903.501442 1229.503060
2025-12-07 212.504093 281.728502 374.073470 508.541611 703.190168 980.836927 1418.231362
2025-12-14 190.270240 260.263642 357.228460 504.460636 727.930144 1063.840775 1625.828440
2025-12-21 167.726629 235.349680 331.976631 483.877247 723.784174 1100.836004 1765.305503
2025-12-28 158.603240 228.437223 331.457357 499.365380 775.886481 1231.621905 2081.234405
2026-01-04 151.828431 224.082624 333.915018 519.169318 836.758572 1384.908508 2465.202963
2026-01-11 141.981453 213.932063 326.130965 521.038958 867.040919 1488.963726 2776.966411
2026-01-18 130.582710 200.244145 311.262596 509.066301 870.987551 1545.057054 3003.863681
2026-01-25 120.849576 188.371945 298.189357 498.567750 875.857268 1602.849352 3244.703856
2026-02-01 116.555841 185.023954 298.943001 512.467747 927.838370 1760.104652 3735.378638
2026-02-08 109.906524 177.313332 291.761312 511.508699 951.775056 1865.973616 4137.735891
2026-02-15 103.038192 168.701741 282.274883 505.234995 964.328381 1950.025108 4508.597376
2026-02-22 98.206407 163.233979 277.866249 508.122450 995.932636 2080.712418 5030.126199
2026-03-01 92.140439 155.108914 267.908950 498.941646 1000.473637 2150.104707 5405.175907
2026-03-08 87.304843 148.851104 260.897905 494.950572 1015.795384 2247.417328 5884.500524
2026-03-15 80.857950 139.204977 246.747861 474.819122 992.182997 2245.593660 6071.743697
2026-03-22 79.169330 138.276962 249.243467 489.967487 1052.039842 2464.828204 7002.792999
2026-03-29 78.021775 138.270663 253.506490 509.334393 1124.676831 2731.619846 8177.701354
2026-04-05 75.039071 134.528173 250.008944 511.162627 1154.526113 2887.690828 9027.212533
2026-04-12 70.890840 128.252205 240.913263 499.454687 1148.664610 2941.853955 9526.704981
2026-04-19 67.181531 122.623169 232.765231 489.187399 1145.311044 3003.112974 10075.708346